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Statistical Methods for Contemporary Clinical Trials
A Bayesian framework to evaluate non-inferiority in randomised controlled trials of uncommon conditions
Victoria R. Cornelius, Jack Elkes, Ian R. White, Rebecca M. Turner, Michelle Clements, Matteo Quartagno, Conor D. Tweed, Sejal Saglani, Suzie Cro
This paper proposes using the posterior probability of noninferiority to demonstrate the value of undertaking an NI trial using a credible NI margin. A five-part Bayesian framework is described: the data generation/analysis model; maximum feasible sample size; different potential outcomes; primary NI margin; and plausible priors.
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